Preprints
There are 3370 Preprints listed.
robust.prioritizr: Robust Systematic Conservation Prioritization
Published: 2026-06-19
Subjects: Biodiversity, Natural Resources and Conservation, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Sustainability, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology
1. Climate change poses significant threats to biodiversity. To ensure the long-term persistence of species, protected areas must be established in locations that will safeguard suitable habitats in the future. Although statistical models can predict where such habitats may occur under different future scenarios, designing protected areas that can effectively protect these habitats across a wide [...]
Body condition, but not reproductive success, is associated with sociality in a colonial seabird.
Published: 2026-06-19
Subjects: Biodiversity, Life Sciences, Marine Biology, Ornithology, Zoology
Body condition, breeding habitat quality and access to socially acquired information are generally associated with higher fitness in social animals. In colonial species that breed in dense aggregations, such as seabirds, the combined effects of these factors on reproductive success have rarely been tested together. In this study, we investigated the relationship between fledging success, body [...]
Governing for Learning: Institutional Foundations of Effective Adaptive Management
Published: 2026-06-19
Subjects: Life Sciences
Adaptive management (AM) remains one of the most promising frameworks for managing conservation challenges under uncertainty, yet its potential is rarely realized in practice. Conservation agencies routinely make repeated decisions under uncertainty, but those decisions are often not structured in ways that allow learning to accumulate and improve future choices. This Perspectives article argues [...]
Algorithmically-controlled ecosystems and biodiversity
Published: 2026-06-18
Subjects: Life Sciences
Algorithmically-controlled ecosystems are ecosystems in which at least one key process rate or property (e.g. biodiversity) is under control by algorithms, or if ecosystems contain robots/ machines. Algorithmic influence on ecosystems will be matter of degree, and we highlight the risks and opportunities of such algorithm-influenced ecosystems, as well as the need to have discussions about [...]
From Footprints to Handprints: Principles for Assessing an Organisation’s Positive Impacts on Biodiversity
Published: 2026-06-18
Subjects: Biodiversity
Organisations are increasingly acknowledging their responsibility to ‘bend the curve of biodiversity loss’ by reducing negative biodiversity impacts, often referred to as biodiversity footprints. A growing number of organisations are also interested in highlighting the positive impacts they have on biodiversity, driven by research, innovation and lobbying, for example. Limited guidance currently [...]
A mathematical foundation of modelling thermal injury and repair dynamics in ectotherms
Published: 2026-06-18
Subjects: Animal Experimentation and Research, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Environmental Sciences, Evolution, Life Sciences, Physiology, Plant Sciences, Population Biology, Research Methods in Life Sciences, Statistical Models, Statistics and Probability, Survival Analysis
As global temperatures rise and extreme heat events impair ectotherm performance and survival, it is becoming increasingly important to predict how organisms accumulate and repair thermal injury under realistic benign and stressful temperatures. The thermal death time (TDT) model quantifies how heat events translate into thermal injury, but under natural temperature fluctuations the TDT model is [...]
When does modelling dependence change the target of biodiversity indicators?
Published: 2026-06-18
Subjects: Biodiversity
Recent biodiversity trend analyses have modelled uncertainty arising from temporal, spatial and phylogenetic dependence. For descriptive indicators such as the Living Planet Index (LPI) however, a prior question is whether dependence modelling improves estimation of a fixed quantity or risks changing the quantity being reported. Using the high-profile case of Johnson et al. (2024), the current [...]
Neural dynamic N-mixture model: a deep learning framework to infer demographic rates from count data
Published: 2026-06-18
Subjects: Population Biology
Changes in population abundance arise from underlying demographic processes, namely survival and recruitment, and knowledge of these two vital rates is crucial for better understanding biodiversity changes. Although demographic data based on individual encounter histories are often sparse in space and time, the dynamic N-mixture model provides an alternative by inferring survival and recruitment [...]
What Artificial Intelligence Cannot Replace in Ecology?
Published: 2026-06-18
Subjects: Life Sciences
Artificial intelligence is becoming increasingly integrated into ecological research, from literature synthesis and hypothesis generation to statistical modelling and data analysis. As AI systems become more autonomous, discussions about ecology's future are often framed as a competition between human and machine intelligence. Yet this perspective overlooks a more fundamental question: what [...]
EarthChirp: a global reference library for insect acoustic recognition and discovery across the audible and ultrasonic spectrum
Published: 2026-06-18
Subjects: Computational Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Entomology, Genetics and Genomics
1. Passive acoustic monitoring (PAM) is scaling rapidly, but automated recognition for insects lags far behind birds. The dominant recogniser (BirdNET) classifies only ~35 insect species and building bespoke insect classifiers requires labelled training data that does not exist for most taxa. 2. We present EarthChirp, a training-free recogniser for singing insects (Orthoptera and Cicadidae) [...]
Mind the Gap: A critical 40-fold workforce shortfall for protecting 30% of the ocean
Published: 2026-06-18
Subjects: Life Sciences, Marine Biology, Other Social and Behavioral Sciences, Public Economics
Despite being tasked with protecting ocean biodiversity, the marine protected area (MPA) workforce remains poorly described. Using a global site-level questionnaire, we assessed staffing, workforce adequacy, technology use, and personnel requirements for effectively and equitably conserving 30% of the ocean by 2030 (30 x 30). Responses represented 52.8% of global MPA area across 63 countries and [...]
Parasitic zoosporic eufungi: taxonomic and phylogenetic diversity, ecology, and impacts
Published: 2026-06-17
Subjects: Biodiversity, Biology, Parasitology, Plant Pathology
Zoosporic eufungi (i.e., chytrids, sensu lato) comprise a phylogenetically and ecologically diverse guild of early diverging fungal phyla (Chytridiomycota, Monoblepharomycota, Neocallimastigomycota, Blastocladiomycota, Sanchytriomycota, Aphelidiomycota, Cryptomycota/Rozellomycota, and Olpidiomycota). While most circumscribed zoosporic eufungi function as decomposers of recalcitrant materials, [...]
Overview of evidence on agroforestry's role in biodiversity conservation and climate change mitigation and adaptation in low- and middle-income countries
Published: 2026-06-17
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Sustainability
Agroforestry has been promoted as one solution to make agriculture more ecologically sustainable. While research has examined its effects on biodiversity and on climate change mitigation and adaptation separately, comprehensive reviews linking these outcomes remain lacking. This review fills that gap. We searched six academic databases in June 2025, retrieving 12,175 unique records. Screening [...]
The first systematic map of evidence syntheses on the use of artificial intelligence in ecology
Published: 2026-06-17
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences
Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly used in ecology to automate data-intensive tasks, from species identification and environmental monitoring to ecological prediction. As primary studies have proliferated, evidence syntheses reviewing AI applications have also increased, but their thematic coverage, methodological emphasis, and reporting transparency remain unclear. We conducted a [...]
Saved by the Symbiont: Environmental Stress Intensity and Endosymbiont-Mediated Stress Response Determine Evolved Host Complexity
Published: 2026-06-17
Subjects: Evolution, Life Sciences
Understanding how stress responses affect the trajectory of host–symbiont coevolution is central to predicting and managing species outcomes in the face of disturbances to ecosystems. Critically, it remains an open question how exactly we expect stressors to influence the coevolutionary dynamics of symbioses (on either end of the parasitism–mutualism continuum). In this work, we use in silico [...]