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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Making movement ecology into a predictive science

Franziska Hacker, Charlotte Christensen, Grace H Davis, et al.

Published: 2026-02-16
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

1. Movement allows animals to change their environmental surroundings and remain in suitable conditions. As environments shift, e.g. through predictable seasonal progression, individuals can adapt their movement strategies accordingly. However, novel climate change introduces unpredictable, atypical conditions (e.g. droughts, floods), which may drive distinct movement responses. Predicting how [...]

Insect monitoring without pitfalls: seven steps for robust insect sensing systems

Jamie Alison, Luca Pegoraro, Jarrett Blair, et al.

Published: 2026-02-13
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Biodiversity, Computer Sciences, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Entomology, Life Sciences

Data shortages fuel controversy about an ongoing insect biodiversity crisis. Insects are immensely diverse and functionally critical for ecosystems, yet data on insect trends remain patchy and biased. Sensors, ranging from camera-equipped light traps to weather radar stations, are set to transform entomological data collection. Meanwhile, AI models that extract biological information from sensors [...]

A systematic map and comprehensive database of animal organ sizes

Felix P. Leiva, Luke Ockhuijsen, Jasmijn Polinder, et al.

Published: 2026-02-12
Subjects: Animal Sciences, Biodiversity, Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Pharmacology, Toxicology and Environmental Health

The relationship between individual organ size and overall body size in animals is a fundamental biological phenomenon that spans multiple disciplines. However, a comprehensive synthesis of the sources of variation in organ-specific scaling remains lacking, even among mammals, the most extensively studied vertebrate group. We developed a systematic map and compiled a large database of paired [...]

Interplay of diet, heat stress, and the microbiome shapes health and escape behavior in amphibian larvae

Paula Cabral Eterovick, Julian Glos, Franziska Burkart, et al.

Published: 2026-02-11
Subjects: Behavior and Ethology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Microbiology, Organismal Biological Physiology

Diet influences animal health and their microbiomes, potentially affecting how they cope with environmental stressors such as rising temperatures and altered food quality associated with climate change. Using a multifactorial experiment, larvae of the frog Rana temporaria were reared on three diets differing in protein, fat, and animal-derived components (low-, intermediate-, and high-quality), [...]

Have human impacts exceeded climate in shaping mammalian distributions?

Xin Chen, Luis José Aguirre, Xiao Feng

Published: 2026-02-10
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Human impacts are increasingly recognized as drivers of biogeographic patterns, yet it remains unclear whether they surpass climate in shaping species distributions. Here we aim to investigate the relative importance of anthropogenic vs. climatic factors in determining mammalian distributions. We modeled the relationship between the geographic distributions of 331 mammal species and 12 [...]

Modeling evolutionary rescue

Hildegard Uecker, Matthew Osmond, Carla Alejandre, et al.

Published: 2026-02-09
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

A population that avoids extinction by adapting to environmental change is said to be rescued by evolution. Evolutionary rescue is of fundamental interest in ecology and evolution and of great relevance in conservation, where rescue of endangered species is wanted, and in medicine and agriculture, where rescue (resistance evolution) of pathogens, cancers, and pests is unwanted. Theory plays a key [...]

Life cycle complexity drives variation in thermal tolerance and plasticity

Patrice Pottier, Vanessa Kellermann, Daniel W.A. Noble, et al.

Published: 2026-02-09
Subjects: Biodiversity, Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Entomology, Evolution, Integrative Biology, Life Sciences, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology, Zoology

Accumulating evidence suggests that heat tolerance varies substantially across insect development, yet patterns of variation remain difficult to generalise across species. We discuss how the diversity of insect developmental strategies shapes both the intensity and predictability of thermal environments across ontogeny, and how this likely generates variation in heat tolerance, plasticity, and [...]

Insect Pests on the Move: Climate, Soil, Land Use, and the Search for Contingent Generality

Ya Zou, Jonathan A Newman

Published: 2026-02-09
Subjects: Agriculture, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Entomology

Climate change is reshaping the geographic distributions of insect pests, with major consequences for agriculture, forestry, and ecosystem stability. Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to project these changes, yet most rely primarily on climatic predictors and implicitly assume a degree of generality in species responses that may not hold across diverse taxa. Here, we evaluate [...]

The origins and diversification of hummingbird pollination in Bromeliaceae

Elizabeth Anne Forward, Jamie B Thompson

Published: 2026-02-06
Subjects: Biodiversity, Biology, Botany, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Evolution, Plant Sciences

Bromeliaceae are a model group for understanding explosive Neotropical diversification, combining remarkable ecological breadth and high species richness, despite relatively recent evolutionary origins. Multiple drivers are hypothesised to accelerate bromeliad diversification, and hummingbird pollination is frequently proposed to be among the strongest. However, our understanding has been limited [...]

Passive acoustic monitoring outperforms observer-based methods for Australian frog communities

Sebastian Hoefer, Slade Allen-Ankins, Donald T McKnight, et al.

Published: 2026-02-06
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Effective biodiversity monitoring is fundamental for evaluating conservation status and detecting population declines, yet traditional observer-based monitoring (OBM) is often constrained by high costs and logistical challenges resulting in limited spatial and temporal coverage. Passive acoustic monitoring (PAM) offers a scalable alternative, but its efficacy for frog biodiversity assessments [...]

One Toolbox, Many Tools: A Practitioner’s Guide to Latent Variable Modelling for Community Ecology

Audun Rugstad, Bob O'Hara, Bert van der Veen, et al.

Published: 2026-02-05
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Multivariate Analysis, Research Methods in Life Sciences, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models

In this article, we present the case for Generalized Linear Latent Variable Models (GLLVMs) as a go-to choice of statistical method for any community ecologist wanting to tackle a range of present-day ecological research questions. GLLVMs bring tools and capabilities from classic (mixed-effects) regression models to multivariate community analysis, providing a number of novel ways to tailor [...]

Predicting demographic impacts from sublethal cumulative effects of offshore renewable developments on breeding seabirds

Christopher John Pollock, Adam Butler, Deena Mobbs, et al.

Published: 2026-02-05
Subjects: Behavior and Ethology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Marine Biology, Population Biology

1. Offshore renewable developments (ORDs) are often located in habitat used by protected seabird species and may cause sublethal effects by altering movement patterns and displacing individuals from key resources. Predicting how these effects translate into population-level impacts is challenging for long-lived species because demographic consequences emerge from complex, state-dependent [...]

Superorganismal Anisogamy: a Comparative Test of an Extended Theory

Philip Ashley Downing, Jussi Lehtonen, Louis Bell-Roberts, et al.

Published: 2026-02-04
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Entomology, Evolution, Life Sciences

Multicellular organisms and superorganisms (e.g., ant colonies) are both products of major evolutionary transitions in individuality, and they share many analogous traits. Theory developed to explain the evolution of one such trait, anisogamy, has recently been adapted to explain its superorganismal analogue: large egg-like queens and small sperm-like males. To test this theory with comparative [...]

Age class and natal origin drive foraging patterns in a reintroduced Cinereous Vulture population

Lucy Mitchell, Luc Lens, Frederick Verbruggen, et al.

Published: 2026-02-04
Subjects: Behavior and Ethology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Ornithology

Widespread vulture population declines are often counteracted by conservation strategies including reintroduction programs and supplementary feeding schemes. However, the role of supplementary feeding – focusing on specific, predictable, feeding sites - on movement behaviour, has been little explored, especially within populations in which reintroduced and wild born birds of different age-classes [...]

General flowering in temperate forests arises from multi-timescale community synchrony

Valentin Journe, Jakub Szymkowiak, Jessie Foest, et al.

Published: 2026-02-03
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

Community-wide “general flowering” has been regarded as a tropical phenomenon. Here, we show that temperate forests also exhibit community-wide flowering at the regional scale. Annual seed-production records for seven dominant tree species across 432 forest sites, analysed with timescale-explicit wavelet metrics, reveal landscape-scale synchrony structured by two periods — a 2–4-year band and a [...]

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