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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Genomic repetition in climate adaptation across different crop species

Oliver Selmoni

Published: 2026-09-30
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

Commercial crop varieties (cultivars) have a narrow genetic diversity that makes them vulnerable to climate change. Yet most crops have related semi-domesticated varieties (landraces) and wild relatives that thrive under climates that would be considered extreme for cultivars. The genomes of such varieties are reservoirs of unknown adaptive traits, some of which could be used to extend the [...]

Nonlinear survey-effort adjustment removes the reported bird-diversity effect

Canran Liu

Published: 2026-09-30
Subjects: Animal Sciences, Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

A recent study published in Science reported that greater photovoltaic policy stringency (PSI) was associated with lower Shannon diversity, lower Simpson diversity, lower species richness, and slightly higher species evenness in China. We exactly reproduced their published model and then evaluated seven alternative survey-effort specifications across Richness, Shannon diversity, Simpson [...]

Amplexus Takeover in the Asian Common Toad, Duttaphrynus melanostictus, in Dumka, Jharkhand, India

Kulesh Bhandari

Published: 2026-09-30
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

I report an instance of amplexus takeover in the Asian Common Toad, Duttaphrynus melanostictus, observed at Simardhuma village, Dumka District, Jharkhand, India, on 21 July 2025. Over an 18-minute sequence, a second male repeatedly interfered with an amplectant pair until the amplectant male released the female, after which the second male assumed amplexus. Although male replacement is known [...]

Toward a General Theory of Heteromorphic Reproduction

P. William Hughes

Published: 2026-09-30
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Evolution, Life Sciences, Other Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Research Methods in Life Sciences

Organisms often divide reproductive investment among outputs that differ in morphology, timing, or reproductive mechanism. In this paper I extend the minimum-risk treatment of seed heteromorphism to the more general question of organisms with ‘portfolios’ of biologically distinct reproductive outputs. The resulting framework specifies a common investment and fitness currency, calculates returns [...]

Wildlife Responses to a Resident a Family: A Three-Year Camera Census on Restored Prairie–Savanna (2024–2026)

Damian Anthony Vraniak

Published: 2026-09-29
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

A steward-conducted trail-camera census on a restored prairie–savanna complex in Washburn County, Wisconsin, labeled every frame from ten cameras at nine fixed stations for 2024, 2025 and January–June 2026 (11,820 frames; 11,135 estimated wildlife individuals; 1,027 frames of the resident family). White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) made up 67–83% of wildlife individuals in each year. [...]

Wolf–Deer and Guild Camera-trap Detections Across Wisconsin’s Statewide Wolf Range (2018–2025), Resolved by Deer Class: Buck Selection in the Hard-Antler Season, Bears and Fawns, and Class-Specific Reference Values for Displacement

Damian Anthony Vraniak

Published: 2026-09-29
Subjects: Behavior and Ethology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

A statewide analysis of wolf-enriched Snapshot Wisconsin camera data (Vraniak 2026d) reported four things: wolves following deer, a temporary rise in that following after the February 2021 wolf harvest, displacement of deer by wolves, and avoidance of people across five co-occurring species. All of it treated deer as a single class. This companion resolves the deer into antlered bucks, antlerless [...]

Modeling Decomposition: Beyond a Well-Mixed World

Carlos A Aguilar-Trigueros, William K Cornwell, Katherine Rocci, et al.

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Botany, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Entomology

Carbon cycle models overlook resource patchiness and networked foraging characterizing terrestrial carbon dynamics. They treat inputs as well mixed and decomposers as acting at local scales, making substrate stoichiometry, rather than spatial access, the primary constraint on decomposition. Using deadwood decomposition by cord-forming fungi and termites as examples, we illustrate how resource [...]

Common, consequential, and actively maintained: a neo-balance view of genetic variation

Mark Christopher Bitter, Paul Schmidt, Dmitri Petrov

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

A fundamental and still unfinished task of evolutionary biology is to understand the nature of genetic variation and the evolutionary forces that shape it. The traditional approach to this problem is through retrospective inference from patterns in contemporary, static DNA sequence data. The prevailing view that emerged from these studies and from theoretical research is that segregating genetic [...]

Evenness under incomplete sampling: coupled error channels, hidden compensation, and the richness-estimation bottleneck

Luca Delvecchio

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

1. Normalized evenness combines an abundance-diversity functional with richness, so incomplete sampling acts through two coupled errors. For \(E_{\alpha,\beta}=L_\beta(D_\alpha)/L_\beta(S)\), the log-error decomposes exactly as \(T_\beta=U_\beta+V_\beta\). With observed richness, \(V_\beta\) is nonnegative whenever species are missed, but total error can have either sign. 2. We generated 950,100 [...]

Quantifying the probability of evolutionary rescue

Matthew Osmond, Hildegard Uecker, Carla Alejandre, et al.

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

While evolutionary rescue is now a well-established term, there are subtleties in precisely defining it and conceptual complications in quantifying its probability. In this Perspective, we pay special attention to three issues: 1) How do we know that a population would go extinct in the absence of evolution? 2) How do we determine the probability of rescue if persistence is possible in the [...]

Reconsidering interspecific co-occurrence of native and invasive plants in an anthropogenic riparian ecosystem

Irene De La Forge, Amélie A.M. Cantarel, Christelle Boisselet, et al.

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Plant Sciences

Invasive non-native plants are considered mostly though negative interactions, but are increasingly recognized as potential contributors to ecosystem functioning. By modifying microhabitats, resource availability and species interactions, non-natives plants may reshape and maintain the living conditions of native plant communities. We conducted an observational field study to quantify the [...]

On the Promise (and Practice) of Deep Comparative Methods: Expressivity, Limitations, and Design

Caleb Charpentier, Arthur Porto, Anuj Karpatne, et al.

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Evolution

Comparative biologists explain the diversity of organismal form and function by deciding which traits to measure and which evolutionary processes to model. These decisions make inference possible, but they also confine it to traits, relationships, and processes that can be specified a priori. Neural networks can expand this space, learning characters directly from complex observations and [...]

Building from biodiversity assessment to place-based conservation action across scales of information and governance.

Carlos Carroll, Asena Goren, Thomas Hoctor, et al.

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Other Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Scientific assessments of biodiversity and ecosystem services are challenged by the need to examine systemic drivers of change while maintaining support in a polarized political climate. Recent US national policy shifts that reduce federal support for scientific assessments underscore the necessity of a broad-based, resilient, and scalable assessment framework with sustained engagement of [...]

Timelines of vegetation recovery following fire in a shrub-dominated Mediterranean-type ecosystem

Christian John, Ellen C. Bolas, Ashley Grupenhoff, et al.

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Fire is a natural disturbance in many Mediterranean-type ecosystems, but wildfires are increasing in frequency and severity in many places worldwide, including California. Vegetation recovery following wildfire is critical for landscape stability and foundational to resilience of many ecosystem processes in the years and decades that follow fire. While remote sensing tools are increasingly [...]

Aligning evidence and action: The Research-to-Decision (RED) Framework to address modern environmental and ecological challenges

Esther L. Jones, Ruth King, Stuart King, et al.

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Biodiversity, Databases and Information Systems, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Health and Protection, Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Environmental Monitoring, Longitudinal Data Analysis and Time Series, Models and Methods, Multivariate Analysis, Natural Resources and Conservation, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models

Ecological and biodiversity crises are intensifying amid rapid advances in sensing, computation, and artificial intelligence (AI). AI offers unprecedented capabilities to understand complex ecological systems, provided outputs are interpretable, applied responsibly, and evaluated by domain experts. When addressing key challenges, science-policy frictions arise through different requirements [...]

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