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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

A unified framework for phylogenetic and spatial meta-analysis: concepts, implementation, and practical guidance

Ayumi Mizuno, Coralie Williams, Malgorzata Lagisz, et al.

Published: 2026-04-09
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Meta-analyses in ecology and evolution, and related fields, can include effect sizes structured by shared evolutionary history or spatial distance. In this tutorial paper, we show that phylogenetic and spatial meta-analyses can be formulated within the same theoretical framework based on correlated random effects. From this perspective, the two approaches differ only in how distance is defined: [...]

When does sampling uncertainty matter in matrix population models? Evidence from published projection matrices

Owen Russell Jones, Emily Simmonds

Published: 2026-04-09
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Population Biology

1. The collation of thousands of population projection matrices in the COM(P)ADRE Matrix Databases has enabled large-scale comparative analyses in ecology, evolution, and demography. A persistent challenge is that transition rates are estimated from finite samples, yet the resulting sampling uncertainty is rarely reported and typically ignored in downstream analyses. Although sampling uncertainty [...]

Why are embodied social signals concentrated towards the rostral region? — The rostrum concentration hypothesis

Shun Satoh, Hiroshi Matsui

Published: 2026-04-09
Subjects: Behavior and Ethology, Biological Psychology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Other Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Psychology, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Although frequently embodied, the relationship of animal social communication with body layout has rarely been investigated from a unified cognitive perspective. Across animal taxa, socially relevant signals, ranging from facial expressions and gaze to colouration and morphology, are strikingly concentrated towards the anterior region of the body. Here, we propose the Rostrum Concentration [...]

Multi-scale collapse of coral cover under climate change

Anna K Cresswell, Vanessa Haller-Bull, Manuel Gonzalez Rivero, et al.

Published: 2026-04-09
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Applied Statistics, Biodiversity, Biology, Dynamic Systems, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Environmental Monitoring, Longitudinal Data Analysis and Time Series, Marine Biology, Mathematics, Numerical Analysis and Computation, Research Methods in Life Sciences, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models, Survival Analysis, Systems Biology

Projecting ecosystem trajectories under future climates is critical for conservation planning, yet remains constrained by uncertainty arising from limited data, ecological complexity, and biological and environmental variability. Variability, when disentangled from uncertainty, offers critical insights into population and community dynamics. For example, enhanced vital rates (growth, survival, [...]

What is the human germline mutation rate? methodological innovations, challenges, and evolutionary implications

Cecilia Padilla-Iglesias, Paco Majic

Published: 2026-04-08
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Evolution, Genetics, Genetics and Genomics, Life Sciences

Germline mutations are the ultimate source of heritable genetic variation, driving evolution, enabling adaptation, and underlying disease. Despite their fundamental importance, key questions remain unanswered: How frequently do germline mutations arise? Do mutation rates vary systematically across individuals, populations, and local genomic context? And what determines whether a mutation arising [...]

Unraveling contaminant effects on biodiversity across scales: the macroecotoxicology perspective

Gabriel M. Moulatlet, Mariana Vellosa Capparelli, Daniela Truchet, et al.

Published: 2026-04-08
Subjects: Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Pharmacology, Toxicology and Environmental Health

With the spread of contaminants across the globe, ecosystems are increasingly exposed to pollutants at varying levels of biological organization. The effects of a wide range of contaminants on individuals have been extensively studied within the discipline of ecotoxicology, but understanding the generality of species’ responses across taxa and ecosystems remains a major challenge. This is because [...]

Diversity and co-occurrence patterns of wood inhabiting insects along a tropical forest regeneration gradient

Nina Grella, Ana Falconí-López, David A. Donoso, et al.

Published: 2026-04-07
Subjects: Biodiversity, Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Entomology, Life Sciences

More than 90% of global carbon released during dead wood decomposition comes from the tropics, where insects contribute significantly to this process, especially in lowland rainforests. Understanding community assembly of dead wood-inhabiting insects is therefore important. We investigated diversity patterns between habitats and host trees, and co-occurrence of wood-inhabiting ants, termites, and [...]

Taxonomic bias: a persistent issue in ecology and evolution

Pietro Pollo, Michael M. Kasumovic

Published: 2026-04-07
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Scientific hyperfocus on certain organisms slows innovation and hinders the generality of ecological and evolutionary inference. Yet, the extent of taxonomic bias in this field and its potential changes over time remain poorly quantified. By assessing 1,383,803 papers and 612 journals, we show that ecology and evolution research is strongly taxonomically biased. We found that studies on [...]

Network architecture and vulnerability of macroalgal epiphyte-host interactions in Caribbean coastal ecosystems: implications for marine conservation

Abdiel Jover Capote, Asiel Cabrera, Ana María Suárez Alfonso, et al.

Published: 2026-04-07
Subjects: Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Marine Biology, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Background and Aims Tropical coastal marine ecosystems depend critically on macroalgal epiphyte–host interaction networks to sustain biodiversity, primary production, and ecosystem services, yet the architecture and vulnerability of these networks remain poorly characterised in the Caribbean. This study aimed to characterise the topological structure of the epiphyte–host interaction network in [...]

Fish in sand and gravel habitats in the North Sea and adjacent shelf seas: A systematic literature review

Mikael van Deurs, Matthew Baker, Petter Lundberg, et al.

Published: 2026-04-03
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Marine Biology

Sedimentary habitats such as sand and gravel are among the most widespread seafloor environments in shelf ecosystems, yet fish–habitat relationships in these substrates remain poorly understood. Although these habitats support diverse and productive benthic communities, ecological information on how fish use them is fragmented, limiting the effectiveness of conservation frameworks such as EUNIS, [...]

Efficient Bayesian implementations of capture-recapture models with Stan

Matthijs Hollanders

Published: 2026-04-02
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Biostatistics, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Population Biology, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models, Statistics and Probability, Survival Analysis

Capture-recapture (CR) methods are a mainstay of ecological statistics for estimating demographic parameters and population sizes in animal populations. The advent of Bayesian methods made complex hierarchical formulations accessible to practitioners, largely relying on conditional likelihood formulations with latent discrete parameters. However, modern gradient-based MCMC methods that are the [...]

An evolving view of phylogenetic biogeography

Michael J. Landis, Joel L. Cracraft, Isabel Sanmartín

Published: 2026-04-01
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Biogeography is intrinsically linked to evolution as a process and to systematics as a practice. Phylogenetic biogeography, in particular, studies the distribution of life in space over time through the lens of common ancestry. Over the past century, new biological and geological discoveries, theoretical frameworks, and methodological techniques revolutionized how we understand why species have [...]

Incorporating population genomic perspectives into kelp conservation and aquaculture in the Pacific Northwest

Jordan Brian Bemmels, Gregory L Owens

Published: 2026-04-01
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Evolution, Genetics and Genomics, Genomics, Life Sciences, Marine Biology

Recent kelp forest declines and growth in the kelp aquaculture industry have fueled increasing interest in ecological and evolutionary research on kelp forests, including kelp population genomics. While many kelp management activities have inherent genetic and evolutionary implications, kelp management in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) of North America has to date made only limited use of [...]

On the role of biogeography in the Extended Evolutionary Synthesis

Charles MD Santos, Daubian Santos, Juan J. Morrone

Published: 2026-04-01
Subjects: Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

In the first half of the 20th century, the Modern Synthesis (MS) integrated Mendelian genetics, paleontology, systematics, natural history, common descent, and natural selection. Although the MS has been the guiding paradigm of evolutionary studies since 1950, by the beginning of the 21st century, a new synthesis incorporated themes such as evo-devo, phenotypic plasticity, and epigenetic [...]

Mitigating the Pollinator-Prey Conflict in Drosera capillaris: A Study on Physiological Plasticity and Phylogenetic Conservatism within Drosera

Mario A. Sandoval Molina

Published: 2026-04-01
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Other Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Premise: Carnivorous plants face a dilemma: acquiring nutrients from insect prey while simultaneously relying on insect pollinators for reproduction. Thus, carnivorous plants have evolved mechanisms to avoid/reduce pollinator-prey conflict. This study aims to understand how carnivorous plants deal with this conflict through: macroevolutionary adaptations (floral stalk length) or short-term [...]

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