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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Methods for the integrated meta-analysis of mean and variation effects

Alistair M Senior, Tim Dodgson, Malgorzata Lagisz, et al.

Published: 2026-01-08
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Biostatistics, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models

Meta-analyses in ecology and evolution typically focus on population means via effect sizes such as the log response ratio. Recently, there has been interest in quantifying effects on variability using the log variability ratio and the log coefficient of variation ratio. Until now, testing for the effects on group means and variabilities has necessitated two separate models. We present a workflow [...]

Active layer microbial inocula restore missing functions across thawed permafrost soils

Sylvain Monteux, Ellen Dorrepaal, Sébastien Fontaine, et al.

Published: 2026-01-07
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Soil Science, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Microbial dynamics in thawing permafrost induce a climate feedback of uncertain magnitude. Estimates rely largely on incubations of experimentally-thawed permafrost soils, which may have limited microbial functionality after millennia of frost. In nature, however, seasonally-thawed active layer microorganisms may enter the underlying permafrost soil and introduce missing functions. Here we test [...]

Phenotyping avian bill sizes; combining the collection of standardized still images with software to obtain observer-independent measures of avian bill shapes

Judith Risse, Joris IJsselmuiden, Kiran Jayaraj, et al.

Published: 2026-01-02
Subjects: Animal Sciences, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Research Methods in Life Sciences

Avian bill size is a morphological trait with evolutionary and ecological importance. Obtaining large-scale observer-independent measures of bill length and bill depth has proven to be challenging. We developed a device, the Bill Phenotyping Box, that allows taking standardized still images from wild small passerine birds in the field. We combine this with dedicated software that, based on a [...]

Evaluating the vulnerability of critical early life stages in plants during heat extremes

Pieter Arnold, Tara J Walker, Ella V Wishart, et al.

Published: 2025-12-31
Subjects: Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Plant Sciences

Plants, their seeds, and their gametes show remarkable resilience and responsiveness to environmental conditions. However, worsening climate change with more severe and frequent extreme climatic events, like heatwaves and hot droughts, will likely push beyond physiological limits of many species. If such events occur during important points of development and reproduction – rather than mature [...]

Epidermal nanostructures enhance thermoregulation in alpine lizards by reducing near-infrared reflectance

Zhongyi Yao, Wenjun Tan, Zhijie Cao, et al.

Published: 2025-12-29
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Ectothermic survival on the Tibetan Plateau, one of the most thermally challenging terrestrial environments, requires effective heat acquisition, yet the physiological and structural mechanisms enabling thermoregulation at high altitudes remain poorly resolved. Here, we demonstrated that high-altitude lizards warmed significantly faster than lowland relatives and showed reduced skin reflectance [...]

Data availability impacts the predictive accuracy of pressure-based biodiversity models

Jakob Nyström, Jeffrey R. Smith, Lisa Mandle, et al.

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Amidst the biodiversity crisis, there is high demand for spatially explicit biodiversity indicators. Global models that quantify impacts of human pressures provide important insights for conservation, but their accuracy in spatial projections has yet to be systematically tested. Here we evaluate this using a global dataset of 25,987 species inventories from 681 studies. We find that mixed models [...]

Cryptic Degradation in Urban Forests: Decoupled Collapse of Soil Methane Sink and Understory Regeneration

Victor Edmonds

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

Urban forests are typically assessed by canopy metrics, assuming that tree persistence indicates ecosystem health. We present evidence of "cryptic degradation" (a functional decoupling between canopy biomass and belowground processes) using 25 years of data from the Baltimore Ecosystem Study (BES). We document two concurrent phenomena: (1) a 59% reduction in soil methane (CH4) uptake beginning [...]

Social structure in northern bottlenose whales: Stable relationships without stable groups

Sam Froman Walmsley, Laura J Feyrer, Hal Whitehead

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Behavior and Ethology, Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Marine Biology

Uncovering the drivers and function(s) of social relationships across a wide range of species is key to understanding the ecology and evolution of social behaviour. Northern bottlenose whales have been identified as a particularly important case study for social evolution. Unlike other large, toothed whale species which live in kin-based social units, northern bottlenose whales appear to form [...]

The Singularity at the Heart of Evolutionary Biology: Organismal Selection and the Thermodynamic Origin of Life

Innocent Ouko

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Evolution, Life Sciences

The origin of the first organism presents as a fundamental discontinuity in evolutionary biology. While population‑centred theories of natural selection succeed when reproduction and heredity exist, they cannot explain life’s emergence from non‑living matter. Building on the conceptual framework of Organismal Selection, this work proposes a physical model in which the transition from lifeless [...]

A plain language review and guidance for modeling animal habitat-selection

Brian Daniel Gerber, Casey Setash, Jacob S Ivan, et al.

Published: 2025-12-19
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences

Animal habitat selection is the process of how individual organisms disproportionately use habitat compared to what is available to them. Understanding habitat selection is important for the study of ecology and conservation. However, learning the foundations of making inference or prediction on animal habitat selection can be quite challenging. Foremost, the literature is large and highly [...]

Operationalising resilience-based management at scale: a meta-adaptive blueprint from the Great Barrier Reef Crown-of-Thorns Starfish Control Program

Samuel Alexander Matthews, Michael Bode, Roger Beeden, et al.

Published: 2025-12-19
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Marine Biology

Resilience-based management (RBM) has been widely adopted as a future focused extension of adaptive management to address mounting climate change impacts on coral reef ecosystems, yet there are few demonstrated examples of RBM operating effectively at large spatial and institutional scales. The Crown-of-Thorns Starfish (COTS) Control Program on the Great Barrier Reef illustrates how RBM can be [...]

Coevolution of social network structure and life history in toothed whales

Sam Froman Walmsley, Erik Ringen, Shane Gero, et al.

Published: 2025-12-18
Subjects: Behavior and Ethology, Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Evolution, Marine Biology

Toothed whales offer a 34 million year-long natural experiment for the evolution of complex mammalian societies. However, quantitative comparative analyses of social structure in these species are lacking. Here, we draw on existing social network analyses to compare social structure across toothed whales. We consider published measures of two social network traits across all toothed whales: [...]

Moving Target(s): One Health at changing human-livestock-wildlife interfaces in tropical ecosystems

Nishant Kumar

Published: 2025-12-18
Subjects: Animal Sciences, Biodiversity, Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Food Science, Life Sciences, Systems Biology

One Health approaches currently conceptualized for Western landscapes require fundamental rethinking for tropics, where human-livestock-wildlife interfaces exist as variegated mosaics rather than discrete zones. This overview examines why tropical ecosystems involve (i) Human mobility patterns shifting continuously through rural-urban migration and globalization (ii) Livestock health [...]

Scale mismatches limit the efficacy of customary management

Kate L Wootton, Donald Brown, Les Brown, et al.

Published: 2025-12-17
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

1. Indigenous lands are some of the most biodiverse areas in the world, providing protection for many species and spillover benefits for wider communities. However, these areas face increasing threats. Indigenous communities face many challenges in protecting and managing these lands, particularly in the form of power imbalances and spatial, temporal, and functional-conceptual mismatches. 2. [...]

Comparing mean species abundance and the biodiversity intactness index to guide robust biodiversity investment decisions

Benjamin Stimpson, Joseph W Bull, E.J. Milner-Gulland

Published: 2025-12-16
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Other Ecology and Evolutionary Biology

1. Mean species abundance (MSA) and the biodiversity intactness index (BII) are two leading biodiversity metrics used to quantify how species composition differs between a control site and an impacted site. Both are proposed for global biodiversity monitoring, are used by companies to create corporate biodiversity impact accounts, and are being considered by financial institutions seeking to [...]

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