Optimising Species Distribution Models: Sample size, positional error, and sampling bias matter

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Comment #133 Oliver L. Pescott @ 2023-12-05 22:09

Shouldn't you include Boyd et al. (2023) in Table 3? Those authors used standard approaches to modelling nonprobability samples within the SDM world (i.e. standard statistical models and approaches to pseudo-absence placement), and evaluated ~500 models via expert feedback, thus partly overcoming issues with in-sample-only measures of model performance (at least as far as we can accept that taxon-group experts have some idea of the environmental determinants of species' distributions and experience of their realised niches). It seems to me that Boyd et al. (2023) warrants considerably more discussion in your manuscript than is currently the case (full disclosure: yes, I am the senior author on that paper).

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Authors

Vítězslav Moudrý, Manuele Bazzichetto, Ruben Remelgado , Rodolphe Devillers, Jonathan Lenoir , Rubén G. Mateo, SoilTemp Consortium, Neftalí Sillero, Vincent Lecours, Anna F. Cord, Vojtech Barták, Petr Balej, Duccio Rocchini, Michele Torresani, Salvador Arenas-Castro, Matěj Man, Dominika Prajzlerova, Katerina Gdulova, Jiří Prošek, Elisa Marchetto, Alejandra Zarzo-Arias, Lukas Gabor, François Leroy, Matilde Martini, Marco Malavasi, Roberto Cazzolla Gatti, Jan Wild, Petra Šímová

Abstract

Species distribution models (SDMs) have proven valuable in filling gaps in our knowledge of species occurrences. However, despite their broad applicability, SDMs exhibit critical shortcomings due to limitations in species occurrence data. These limitations include, in particular, issues related to sample size, positional error, and sampling bias. In addition, it is widely recognized that the quality of SDMs as well as the approaches used to mitigate the impact of the aforementioned data limitations are dependent on species ecology. While numerous studies have experimentally evaluated the effects of these data limitations on SDM performance, a synthesis of their results is lacking. However, without a comprehensive understanding of their individual and combined effects, our ability to predict the influence of these issues on the quality of modelled species-environment associations remains largely uncertain, limiting the value of model outputs. In this paper, we review studies that have evaluated the effects of sample size, positional error, sampling bias, and species ecology on SDMs outputs. We integrate their findings into a step-by-step guide for critical assessment of spatial data intended for use in SDMs.

DOI

https://doi.org/10.32942/X2JS5D

Subjects

Life Sciences

Keywords

EcolEcogical Niche Modelling, Validation, Quality, training, Scale, Sampling, heterogeneity, Filtering, Ecological Niche Modelling, complexity

Dates

Published: 2023-12-04 21:23

Last Updated: 2023-12-04 21:23

License

CC BY Attribution 4.0 International

Additional Metadata

Language:
English