Recent advances of quantitative modeling to support invasive species eradication on islands

This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. The published version of this Preprint is available: https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.246. This is version 3 of this Preprint.

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Authors

Christopher Baker, Michael Bode

Abstract

The eradication of invasive species from islands is an important part of managing these ecologically unique and at-risk regions. Island eradications are complex projects and mathematical models play an important role in supporting efficient and transparent decision-making. In this review we cover the past applications of modelling to island eradications, which range from large-scale prioritisations across groups of islands, to project-level decision-making tools. While quantitative models have been formulated and parameterised for a range of important problems, there are also critical research gaps. Many applications of quantitative modelling lack uncertainty analyses, and are therefore over-confident. Forecasting the ecosystem-wide impacts of species eradications is still extremely challenging, despite recent progress in the field. Overall, the field of quantitative modelling is well-developed for island eradication planning. Multiple practical modelling tools are available for, and are being applied to, a diverse suite of important decisions, and quantitative modelling is well-placed to address pressing issues in the field.

DOI

https://doi.org/10.32942/osf.io/63adu

Subjects

Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Sciences, Life Sciences, Natural Resources and Conservation, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Keywords

conservation biology, cost benefit analysis, ecology, invasive species, simulation model

Dates

Published: 2020-09-08 10:03

Last Updated: 2020-09-09 04:33

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License

CC-By Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International