Nature requires investment: applying Priority Threat Management to support biodiversity and climate targets

Abbey E Camaclang, Aranya Iyer, Chris Liang, Emily Giles, Beatrice Frank, Jessica Currie, Katherine I Alambo, Jennifer Lamoureux, Sarah Matchett, Tyler Miller, D. Ryan Norris, Mary Ann C Perron, Robyn H M Rumney, Frederick W Schueler, Laura Timms, Catherine Paquette, Victoria Hemming, James Snider, Tara Martin

1. Stemming biodiversity loss requires greater investment in conservation and more efficient use of available resources. Prioritizing conservation actions that yield the most biodiversity benefit for the least cost can help maximize return on investment. Actions that have co-benefits for other objectives, such as climate change mitigation, can also help mobilize additional funds for conservation.
2. We used Priority Threat Management to identify actions to secure the greatest number of species groups of conservation concern for the least cost in the Lake Simcoe-Rideau ecoregion, Ontario—one of Canada’s biodiversity crisis ecoregions. We also estimated the carbon sequestration benefits of actions related to land protection and restoration.
3. We found that without additional investment in conservation, 13 of 16 species groups were expected to have <50% probability of persistence in this ecoregion by 2050. Implementing all proposed strategies would yield the greatest biodiversity benefits and secure 12 of the 16 species groups with ≥60% probability of persistence, at a cost of $113 million per year over 27 years. In comparison, investing CA$97 million per year in landowner stewardship, habitat protection, and restoration and regeneration strategies could secure ten species groups and improve the probability of persistence of one additional group from 39% to 55%, an increase of >15%.
4. The habitat protection and restoration strategies also deliver direct carbon benefits of around 11.2Mt in avoided CO2 emissions and 137.6Mt CO2 in potential sequestration, respectively, thus supporting alignment with climate change mitigation targets and delivering co-benefits that may further justify investment.
5. Synthesis and applications. By estimating the costs and demonstrating the expected benefits and potential carbon co-benefits of conservation actions, Priority Threat Management can help maximize return on investment and identify actions that address multiple environmental crises.