Ana Carolina Antunes, Emilio Berti, Ulrich Brose, Myriam Hirt, Dirk Karger, Louise O'Connor, Laura J. Pollock, Wilfried Thuiller, Benoit Gauzens

Linking biodiversity and the provision of nature’s contribution to people (NCP) remains a challenge. This hinders our ability to properly cope with the decline in biodiversity and the provision of NCP under global climate and land use changes. Here, we propose a framework that combines biodiversity models with food web energy flux approaches to evaluate and map NCP at large spatio-temporal scales. While energy fluxes traditionally link biodiversity to NCP locally, biodiversity models permit to extend these predictions across extensive spatial and temporal scales. Importantly, this novel approach has the potential to assess the vulnerability of NCP to the climate crisis and support the development of multiscale mitigation policies.