Fiona Backhouse , Helen L. Osmond, Bruce Doran, John Stein, Loeske E. B. Kruuk, Andrew Cockburn

1. Reproductive performance in birds can be affected by both social environment and small-scale environmental heterogeneity via food abundance, availability of nesting sites, and predation risk. However, to date, the best studies of effects of microhabitat variation on avian populations have been on northern hemisphere passerines using nestboxes, where birds have limited control over nest sites and have a comparatively simple social structure.
2. Here we utilise a multi-decade dataset on the superb fairy-wren, Malurus cyaneus, a southern hemisphere passerine with facultative cooperative breeding. We monitored territory characteristics, nest locations and breeding success, and used GIS to relate these to social organisation and a survey of vegetation characteristics throughout the study area.
3. There was a long-term nearly two-fold decline in population density over the study period (1994-2015). This was associated with a corresponding decline in the mean number of helpers per group, and hence in the extent of cooperative breeding: in the first four years of the study (1994-1997), 56% of groups had at least one helper, but in the final four years (2012-2015), this was reduced to 28%. Mean territory size also increased (from 0.74ha in the first four years to 1ha in the final four years) such that on average, years with lower numbers of helpers per territory had larger territory sizes. However, helper number was positively correlated with territory size within years.
4. Reproductive performance was related to microhabitat heterogeneity: fledgling production was lower and nest predation higher in territories with dense midstorey vegetation, possibly because avian predators using visual information to detect nests can conceal themselves from nesting birds. Predation during the nesting phase decreased over time, indicating that the population decline was not driven by increased predation.
5. The causes of overall population decline remain to be determined, however our analyses have uncovered both microspatial patterns in nesting behaviour of birds, and temporal changes in population density and social group dynamics. From a methodological perspective, the study demonstrates the utility of GIS methods for investigating fine-scale habitat dynamics over time.