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Composite virulence: useful metric or conceptual trap?

Composite virulence: useful metric or conceptual trap?

This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. This is version 1 of this Preprint.

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Authors

Luis M. Silva , Tiago G. Zeferino

Abstract

Virulence, the harm an infection causes to its host, is a cornerstone concept in ecology and evolution, yet it remains difficult to quantify because infection impact is multidimensional, dynamic, and context-dependent. Infections can reduce host performance through multiple, partially redundant routes (including mortality, fecundity loss, behavioural impairment, and physiological disruption), whose relative importance depends on the host's life history and ecological conditions. Composite virulence measures have emerged to address this complexity by combining information across traits, but they can embed strong assumptions: component choice may reflect availability rather than biological relevance, correlated traits can be double-counted, and combining parasite drivers or host-state mediators with life-history outcomes can obscure interpretation and introduce circularity. Here we synthesize the conceptual foundations of composite virulence and outline a biologically grounded workflow for building interpretable composites. We treat composite virulence as a measurement strategy anchored to an explicit biological question, with trait selection conducted to minimize redundancy while preserving timing and context-dependency. Used carefully, composite approaches can clarify which routes to harm dominate across hosts, parasites, and environments and thereby strengthen evolutionary inference; used casually, they risk becoming a conceptual trap that yields clean rankings while concealing mechanisms.

DOI

https://doi.org/10.32942/X25654

Subjects

Animal Diseases, Animal Experimentation and Research, Animal Sciences, Biodiversity, Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Evolution, Immunity, Immunology and Infectious Disease, Immunology of Infectious Disease, Immunopathology, Life Sciences, Medical Microbiology, Microbiology, Other Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Other Immunology and Infectious Disease, Parasitic Diseases, Parasitology, Pathogenic Microbiology, Plant Pathology, Research Methods in Life Sciences, Zoology

Keywords

virulence, composite virulence, life history, composite index, host-parasite, host-pathogen, infectious diseases

Dates

Published: 2026-02-20 12:29

Last Updated: 2026-02-20 12:29

License

CC-BY Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International

Additional Metadata

Conflict of interest statement:
None

Data and Code Availability Statement:
Not applicable

Language:
English