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Preprints

There are 2847 Preprints listed.

The interplay between epigenetic mechanisms and deleterious mutations: implications for fitness, evolution and conservation

Rebecca Shuhua Chen, Bernice Sepers, Kees van Oers, et al.

Published: 2026-01-13
Subjects: Biology, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Genetics, Genetics and Genomics, Genomics, Life Sciences, Molecular Genetics

Understanding the causal effects of genetic mutations is essential for explaining fitness variation, forecasting evolutionary trajectories and assessing extinction risk, yet remains a fundamental challenge, particularly in natural populations. While amino acid substitutions can alter protein structure and function, mutations affecting gene regulation can also have significant fitness [...]

Temperature carryover effect revealed for marine fishes using spatio-temporal distributed lag models

James T Thorson, Sean C Anderson, Max Lindmark

Published: 2026-01-13
Subjects: Marine Biology, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Understanding the impact of changing temperature on population densities is necessary to predict the likely impact of climate anomalies (e.g., marine heatwaves) or forecast distribution shifts under future climate scenarios. Population densities are often analyzed using spatio-temporal models (STMs), which typically predict densities based on local habitat conditions while also estimating latent [...]

Measuring Nature’s Contributions to People – what data do we have?

Sebastian Theis, Neil Burgess, Arnout van Soesbergen, et al.

Published: 2026-01-13
Subjects: Life Sciences

The concept of Nature’s Contributions to People, established by the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services, extends the ecosystem services approach by acknowledging the many perspectives and world views about human-nature relationships. Quantifying these relationships requires robust data and tools. Using existing databases and artificial [...]

Ecological examples of nonstationarity, nonlinearity, and statistical interactions in dynamic structural equation models

James T Thorson, Kasper Kristensen

Published: 2026-01-13
Subjects: Aquaculture and Fisheries Life Sciences, Marine Biology, Population Biology, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Ecologists are adapting structural causal modelling for spatial, phylogenetic, and time-series analysis. However, ecological extensions of path analysis and structural equation models (SEM) typically assume that interactions (“path coefficients”) are stationary, linear, and additive, while ecological and evolutionary dynamics are often nonstationary, nonlinear, and include statistical [...]

Bridging Science and Policy: A Global Review of Socio-ecological Indicators Guiding Biodiversity Action

Cristian A. Cruz-Rodríguez, Nicolas Urbina-Cardona, María Cecilia Londoño Murcia, et al.

Published: 2026-01-13
Subjects: Biology, Community-based Research, Environmental Monitoring, Human Ecology, Life Sciences, Natural Resources and Conservation, Nature and Society Relations, Other Political Science, Remote Sensing, Spatial Science, Sustainability

1. Biodiversity continues to decline despite a proliferation of indicators intended to inform conservation policy. We asked which socio-ecological indicators are actually reaching decision-makers, how they are used, and where critical gaps persist. 2. Following a scoping-review protocol and PRISMA workflow, we screened 906 documents in Web of Science and Scopus and analyzed 43 studies that [...]

Meat’s Role as a Staple Food and the Opportunity to Improve Dietary Patterns in America

Shalene McNeill, Mary Van Elswyk, Mary K Young, et al.

Published: 2026-01-09
Subjects: Medicine and Health Sciences

Many Americans choose to eat meat, with beef and poultry being their top protein choices. The best available evidence indicates that most Americans consume meat in amounts at, or near, levels modeled in the 2020 Dietary Guidelines for Americans. There is an opportunity, however, for many Americans to improve how they consume meat, including selecting leaner cuts and using healthful preparation [...]

Consensus on future research directions in the Phylum Rotifera

Rafael Macedo, Carlota Solano-Udina, Melanie D. Borup, et al.

Published: 2026-01-09
Subjects: Life Sciences

Rotifers play key roles in aquatic ecosystems, yet significant uncertainty remains about their diversity and evolution, and basic knowledge is still lacking to address practical challenges related to global change. To identify the major knowledge gaps hindering progress, we carried out a Delphi process both online and during the 17th International Rotifer Symposium, involving more than forty [...]

Data aggregation blurs inferred temporal trends in bird sampling

Martin Bulla, Peter Mikula

Published: 2026-01-09
Subjects: Social and Behavioral Sciences

Ellis-Soto et al. (2023, Nat Hum Behav) reported that disparity in bird-sampling density between U.S. city neighbourhoods rated as safe versus risky for real estate investment (a practice known as “redlining”) increased by 35.6% between 2000 and 2020. We show that this reported trend arises from data aggregation and linear model misspecification. Using the original neighbourhood-level yearly data [...]

Wild boar population control needs more than recreational hunting

Christian Gortázar, David Relimpio, Nicolás Urbani, et al.

Published: 2026-01-09
Subjects: Animal Sciences, Biodiversity

This perspective addresses the challenges of wild boar (Sus scrofa) population control in two different scenarios: reactive management to control disease epidemics and proactive management of wild boar populations at larger geographic scales. Intense but silent wild boar culling can significantly contribute to local outbreak control. Larger wild boar free buffer zones might work in front-like [...]

Methods for the integrated meta-analysis of mean and variation effects

Alistair M Senior, Tim Dodgson, Malgorzata Lagisz, et al.

Published: 2026-01-08
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Biostatistics, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models

Meta-analyses in ecology and evolution typically focus on population means via effect sizes such as the log response ratio. Recently, there has been interest in quantifying effects on variability using the log variability ratio and the log coefficient of variation ratio. Until now, testing for the effects on group means and variabilities has necessitated two separate models. We present a workflow [...]

TABMON – real-time acoustic biodiversity monitoring across Europe

Benjamin Cretois, Carolyn Rosten, Julia Wiel, et al.

Published: 2026-01-08
Subjects: Biodiversity, Life Sciences

1. Ecological surveys are often fragmented, costly, and limited in scale, leading to large and long-standing knowledge gaps which threaten our ability to properly safeguard biodiversity. 2. Passive Acoustic Monitoring (PAM) has promised to deliver automated biodiversity monitoring, but networks are rarely deployed on scales that can offer truly novel insights due to scalability and [...]

Active layer microbial inocula restore missing functions across thawed permafrost soils

Sylvain Monteux, Ellen Dorrepaal, Sébastien Fontaine, et al.

Published: 2026-01-07
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Soil Science, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Microbial dynamics in thawing permafrost induce a climate feedback of uncertain magnitude. Estimates rely largely on incubations of experimentally-thawed permafrost soils, which may have limited microbial functionality after millennia of frost. In nature, however, seasonally-thawed active layer microorganisms may enter the underlying permafrost soil and introduce missing functions. Here we test [...]

Personality tips the scale: How individual differences in exploration shape behavioural and hormonal adjustment to different environments

Sophia Marie Quante, Dongying Zhao, Sylvia Kaiser, et al.

Published: 2026-01-07
Subjects: Animal Sciences, Animal Studies, Life Sciences, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Individuals show consistent differences in their behaviour across time and/or context, usually referred to as animal personality in behavioural ecology. These inter-individual differences raised the question if animals of different personalities also vary in how they adjust to certain environmental conditions. In the present study, we aimed to investigate personality-dependent adjustments to [...]

Spatial Expansion and Ecological Correlates of Invasive Crayfish Procambarus clarkii and Pacifastacus leniusculus in Mediterranean Rivers of Catalonia (NE Iberian Peninsula)

Rafel Rocaspana, Quim Pou-Rovira, Enric Aparicio

Published: 2026-01-06
Subjects: Biodiversity, Life Sciences, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Invasive freshwater crayfish are among the most impactful non-native taxa in European river systems, yet quantitative assessments of their spatial expansion and environmental drivers remain scarce in Mediterranean regions. We investigated the expansion dynamics and environmental drivers of two invasive North American crayfish, Procambarus clarkii and Pacifastacus leniusculus, in rivers of [...]

Marine biodiversity indicators and online data knowledge systems

Nazli Demirel, Alice C. Hughes, David K Barnes, et al.

Published: 2026-01-06
Subjects: Biodiversity, Marine Biology

Coastal marine ecosystems and biodiversity are changing rapidly under climate forcing, resource use, pollution and habitat modification. Monitoring these changes, and tracking progress across policy targets, remain constrained by uneven data coverage, fragmented observing networks and inconsistent measurement practices. International policy frameworks, most prominently the Kunming-Montreal Global [...]

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